Week of May 18-22, 2026

This Week's Setups

โš ๏ธ Read the methodology first. Do NOT take any setup below without first reading the Methodology page. The stop-loss rule, position sizing, and 3-stage exit logic are what make these setups work. Skipping the rules = losing money even on winning signals.

This Week's Read

2 of our own positions, 3 setups still attainable, plus the proof

Below: what we're currently holding, setups that are still in a reasonable entry zone (you can still get in), setups we'd skip (already extended), and recent winners that already played out to build confidence in the system.

๐Ÿ“ Our open positions

DE John Deere ยท Agriculture
โ˜… PREMIUM โ€” WE'RE IN

We entered at an average of $528.75 on May 22. The system fired a PREMIUM setup โ€” the stock dropped to a long-term support level AND showed deeply oversold conditions. This kind of setup has worked 74% of the time historically. Current price: $529.15 (essentially breakeven, waiting for the move).

RTX Raytheon ยท Defense
STRICT โ€” WE'RE IN

Entered at $174.50 on April 28. RTX is a top-tier defense stock โ€” has fired this exact setup 5 times in the past 5 years and won every single time (100% win rate). Currently trading at $177.01 (+1.4% above entry), early in the trade.

โœ… Setups still in entry range

These setups fired recently but the stock hasn't run yet โ€” you can still take them at a reasonable entry. Not financial advice; just our read on what's actionable.

NFLX Netflix ยท Streaming/Entertainment
LPS SIGNAL โ€” STILL ATTAINABLE

Netflix fired a Wyckoff Last Point of Support signal on April 28 at $92.00. The pattern means: big institutions have been quietly absorbing supply at this level, signaling potential markup. The stock is currently trading $88.60 โ€” below the signal price, which is actually a BETTER entry than the signal day itself. This could be a very strong opportunity if you want a patient setup.

MCD McDonald's ยท Restaurants
STRICT BE โ€” STILL TAKEABLE

McDonald's fired a Bracket Excess signal on May 11 at $274. Price is currently $282.27 โ€” about 3% above the signal. This is still a reasonable entry range; you'd just be slightly higher than the ideal entry. Stop placement and sizing matter more than catching the exact bottom.

โš ๏ธ Already extended โ€” don't chase

These setups have already run too far from their signal point. The risk-to-reward isn't there anymore. Catalog them as proof the system works rather than tradeable entries.

AVAV AeroVironment ยท Defense Drones
LPS FIRED โ€” TOO LATE

AVAV fired a Low-Volume Drift LPS signal on May 21 at $161.85. Within days, it ran to $174.24 โ€” the 21 EMA Sign of Strength โ€” and that's where it sits now. That's a +7.7% move in 1-3 trading days. Beautiful setup, but chasing here means you're paying the higher price without the safety of the signal-bar low. Wait for the next setup on AVAV.

HON Honeywell ยท Industrials
PREMIUM FIRED APR 24 โ€” TOO LATE

HON fired a PREMIUM signal on April 24 around $212. The stock has now moved up to $227.92 (+7.5% from signal) and is sitting halfway through the bracket. Don't chase โ€” the easy money has been made on this one.

JPM JPMorgan Chase ยท Financial
PULLED BACK โ€” DON'T CHASE

JPM has recently pulled back from a previous setup. Currently at $306.38. The risk/reward isn't favorable here โ€” wait for the next clean signal.

JNJ Johnson & Johnson ยท Pharma
ALREADY RAN โ€” WAIT FOR PULLBACK

JNJ fired a Loose Bracket Excess signal on April 22 at $226.32. The stock has now moved up to $234.34 (+3.5%) and is past the ideal entry zone. The next logical entry would be a pullback to ~$230 where you could enter with tighter risk. Don't chase here โ€” wait for that pullback or skip the trade.

๐Ÿ“Š Recent winners โ€” the system in action

These setups already played out. We're sharing them as proof points โ€” what the system identified BEFORE the move happened.

JNJ Johnson & Johnson ยท March 12, 2026
+13.9% IN 40 TRADING DAYS

JNJ fired a strict signal on March 12 at $281. The stock dipped briefly to $277.92 that day before turning higher. By April 21, it traded at $320 โ€” a +13.9% gain in ~6 weeks. That's what a clean A+ signal on a Tier-1 defensive name looks like when held through to target.

IBM International Business Machines ยท April 23, 2026
+14.6% PEAK (1 MONTH)

IBM fired a Bracket Excess signal on April 23 at $229.50. Worst-case drawdown that day: $221 (-3.7%). By May 22, it peaked at $263 โ€” a +14.6% gain in one month. It has since pulled back to $253.84 (+10.6% from signal still). A textbook example of the asymmetric risk/reward this strategy provides.

๐Ÿ“ Position Sizing Calculator

Type in your TOTAL trading account size below โ€” not what you want to risk on a trade, not your monthly budget. The TOTAL dollar value of the account you trade from. The calculator returns the POSITION SIZE the system would use for each tier of setup.

Based on a $100,000 account, here's what the system would deploy per signal:

โ˜… PREMIUM Setup
$25,000
25% of account ยท max loss ~$375 (0.4% risk)
Standard Strict
$17,000
17% of account ยท max loss ~$255 (0.25% risk)
Loose / Discretionary
$5,000
5% of account ยท max loss ~$75 (0.075% risk)

Why these numbers are conservative: the position size looks big (up to 25% of account) but the actual dollar AT RISK is small โ€” the system uses tight structural stops (1.5% of share price). So even on a Premium-sized trade, you're risking less than 0.5% of your account. This is how we can size up on conviction without blowing up.